Forget basic income grants, fix roads and dysfunctional municipalities instead
Without fixing dysfunctional municipalities, dangerous roads full of potholes and reducing reliance on Eskom, South Africa can forget about meaningful economic growth, says former finance minister Tito Mboweni.
Speaking at the PSG annual conference in Sun City on Wednesday, Mboweni said even though SA’s economy bounced back quickly from the Covid-19 setback, it’s still at levels last seen in 2017.
“That short-term V-shaped recovery – there’s not much to write home about it. It was recovering from a very low base,” he said.
Instead, Mboweni said that the 1.2% GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2021 paints the true picture of SA’s stagnation and proves that the target of growing the economy by 5% by 2030 is a pipe dream.
There is no capable state to ensure that the economy grows. Instead, there are more businesses which, like Clover, are suffocating because of ineffective municipalities.
He added that Clover was ready to close its business if it could not relocate to Durban.
“The importance of running municipalities properly is so key,” he said.
Mboweni said there are many other pre-conditions for achieving higher economic growth that are not present in South Africa.
While there are several structural reforms the country needs – including reconfiguring the country’s energy mix because “Eskom is a major constraint to economic performance” – there are also simple things government is failing on.
“What will be the preconditions for us to achieve higher growth levels? A capable state is very important. [A] state that is going to fix the roads and do all of those things, it’s very important,” said Mboweni.
He said there are many other “basic factors” that government needs to refocus its attention on, including actually investing in infrastructure again rather than just talking about it.
The former finance minister also cautioned against populist policies, given that the governing ANC might try to appease voters after losing support in many metros in the local government elections last year. Mboweni thinks that the expanding social expenditure bill needs to be reined in, particularly because the social sector already accounts for about 60% of the consolidated budget.Read more here